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ʶҹóҤҹѹԺйѹٻШѻ 7-11 .. 58 ѻ 14-18 .. 58 ½Ἱкúѷ ˹¸áԨäҧ ѷ . ӡѴ (Ҫ)


ѻҹҤ¹ѹԺù (Brent) ѺŴŧ 2.55 ­Ѱ ͺ 48.35 ­Ѱ ͺ Ҥ¹ѹԺ (Dubai) Ŵŧ 1.72 ­Ѱ ͺ 46.32 ­Ѱ ͺ Ҥ¹ѹԺʷ硫 (WTI) Ŵŧ 1.57 ­Ѱ ͺ 45.16 ­Ѱ ͺ Ҥ¹ѹŴŧ 0.13 ­Ѱ ͺ 60.11 ­Ѱ ͺ ҧáҤ¹ѹູԹ͡෹ 95 硹· 0.01 ­Ѱ ͺ 65.58 ­Ѱ ͺ »Ѩ·觼šз

Ѩ·зҤҹѹԺԧź
Ҥáҧչ »ҳعͧԹҧ (Foreign Exchange Reserves) ͹ .. 58 Ŵŧ 9.39 ҹѰ ҡ͹͹˹ 3.56 ҹҹѰ з͹֧ͧչҧʶҾ㹵ҴԹ
ӹѡѴѹѺͶ Standard & Poors ѺŴѹѺͶͧ͢Ⱥҫ ҡдѺ BBB-Minus дѺ BB-Plus ѹѺôԵдѺ Junk áͧкѴ Standard & Poors ѨغѹɰԨҫж (Recession) Թ Real Ŵŧ֧ 30% 㹻չ ѵԹͷ٧鹨ҡա͹֧ 10% ҡӹѡѴѹѺͶͻԹɰԨҫ㹷ȷҧǡѹ 觼šз͵鹷عáͧѰ͡
China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) §ҹʹ˹ö¹ͧչ͹ .. 58 Ŵŧҡա͹ 3% 1.7 ҹѹ CAAM Թʹö㹻ȻչԺ⵨ҡա͹ 3% Ŵŧҡҳó駡͹ 7% СѧŴŧѧѺšзҡѪյҴ鹨չŴŧ
ҳüԵѹԺ㹵ҴѧдѺ٧ Reuters §ҹҫش¨мԵѹдѺ٧ҳ 10.2-10.3 ҹŵѹ ʹǧʷ 4/58 ͧҡҤͧѹԺ㹵Ҵš٧ ¼ԵѹԺѨغѹдѺ 10.7 ҹŵѹ öҳüԵѹԺ֧дѺ 14 ҹŵѹ ա 2
šҡèչ§ҹҳùҹѹԺ͹ .. 58 Ŵŧҡ͹͹ 1 ҹŵѹ дѺ 6.28 ҹŵѹ ͧҡ͡ Tianjin (0.25 ҹŵѹ) ѧԴԹõѹ 12 .. 58 ͻáѺŴѵҡá蹢ͧç㹨չ 駹 Energy Aspects ͧһҳù͹˹ѧдѺͧҡŴѵҡáǧûԴا
Reuters §ҹԵ Shale Oil ˭Ѱ»СŴҳŧع ͧҡҤҹѹԺ㹵Ҵ ҷ Marathon Oil Corp. Ŵŧع 2559 ŧ 600 ҹ­Ѱ 2.8 ѹҹ­Ѱ ӡһա͹ 15% кѷ Continental Resources Inc. ѺŴԹŧع繤駷 3 㹻չ ǧԹŧعŴŧ 350 ҹ­Ѱ
׺˹㹡¡ԡҵáäӺҵҹٻҡѧҡиҹҸԺѰ ºѤ ͺ Ѻ§ʹѺʹعҡزҪԡӹǹ 41 § 㹡¡ԡҵáäӺҵҹ §͵͡üѡѹҧѧǷҧäѴҹͧҪԡҤͧ ͵ŧҵáäӺҵõҧ˹Ѱ, Ҿû ˻ЪҪҵԨж١¡ԡ 觼ҹѺ͡ѹԺҡ
EIA ѺŴҴóԺⵢͧػʧѹš 2558 93.62 ҹŵѹ Ŵŧ 0.1 ҹŵѹ ҡҳó駡͹͹ .. 58 鹨ҡա͹ 1.17 ҹŵѹ ػʧԺ鹨ҡա͹ҨҡѰ ҳ 0.33 ҹŵѹ, չ 0.33 ҹŵѹ Թ 0.19 ҹŵѹ зԺⵢͧػʧѹš㹻 2559 дѺ 94.93 ҹŵѹ鹨ҡ 2558 ҳ 1.31 ҹŵѹ

Ѩ·зҤҹѹԺԧǡ
ӹѡҹѰբͧ§ҹѵҡԭԺ⵷ҧɰԨ (GDP) ʷ 2/58 繤駷 2 ˴Ƿ 1.2% ҡա͹ ˴ǹ¡§ҹá 1.6% зǨѡ蹤Ҵó GDP ʷ 3/58 ТµǨҡա͹ 1.67% ӡҷ¤Ҵó͹͹ҨԺ⵨ҡա͹ 2.48%
зǧɰԨ ä صˡͧ (Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry METI) §ҹҳùҹѹԺͧ͹ .. 58 Ѻ鹨ҡ͹͹ 10.9% дѺ 3.43 ҹŵѹ »ҳùҹѹԺҡҹ鹨ҡ͹͹ 20% дѺ 0.16 ҹŵѹ
· Platts §ҹҳҹѹԺͧûҡ乨ͧ ͹ .. 58 1.93 ҹŵѹ (鹨ҡ͹͹ 0.27 ҹŵѹ ) ͧҡҡáû٧ Фҧ͢觹ѹԺҴ 900,000 ҡͿԡҵѹ (West Africa WAF) ѧɻѺŴŧҡ 95 Worldscale ѹ 8 .. 58 дѺ 51.25 Worldscale ѹ 2 ..58
· Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) §ҹʶҹóŧعѭҹѹԺ WTI 㹵Ҵ͢ǧ˹ NYMEX ICE ͹͹ ѻشѹ 8 .. 59 ѴáͧعѺʶҹСëط (Net Long Position) 19,576 ѭ WoW 135,952 ѭ
· Baker Hughes Inc. §ҹ蹢شйѹԺѰ ѻشѹ 11 .. 59 Ŵŧ 10 652 Ŵŧͧ 2 ѻ
ҤҹѹԺ
ҤҹѹԺ㹵Ҵ͢ǧ˹ ICE Brent NYMEX WTI ѻҹ͹㹪ǧ 2 ­Ѱϵͺ ѧҡ 2 ѻ͹˹ Ҥ͹عç㹪ǧ 4-7 ­Ѱϵͺ 駹 äҴóҤҹѹԺ֧Ѩ·觼ŵҤҹѹԺҡӹѡѧդѴ駡ѹ ѧҡ Goldman Sachs ͧҹź شѺŴҳóҤҹѹԺ NYMEX WTI 2559 ŧ 45 ­Ѱϵͺ ҡ¤Ҵ 57 ­Ѱϵͺ з ICE Brent ѺҤŧ 49.5 ­Ѱϵͺ ҡ 62 ­Ѱϵͺ ҧá §ҹͧ IEA Ѻ͹ .. 58 кػҹѹԺҡȹ͡ OPEC 㹻 2559 ˴ŧҡա͹ 0.5 ҹŵѹ Ѻ繡˴ҡشͺ 24 ͧҡԵѹԺ鹷ع٧ Ѱ, мԵdz˹͵ҧѺšзҡԡĵҤҹѹ ੾лҳüԵ Shale Oil Ѱ ˴Ǩҡա͹ 0.4 ҹŵѹ 㹻 2559 ѧҡʶԵԢµ٧ش繻ѵԡóҡա͹֧ 1.7 ҹŵѹ 㹻 2557 ѹ繵˵ӤѭҤҹѹԺ ҧá ҤҹѹдѺ IEA ԹػʧѹԺ㹻 2558 ТµǨҡա͹ 1.7 ҹŵѹ ٧شͺ 5 ФҴҨѧдѺ٧ͧ件֧ 2559 Ժ⵨ҡա͹ 1.4 ҹŵѹ ºѺ 2557 觢µǨҡա͹ 0.8 ҹŵѹ شͺ 5 ػ šеͧѹҡ OPEC (Call-on-OPEC) 㹻 2559 ֧ 31.3 ҹŵѹ ੾㹪ǧѧͧ 2559 Call-on-OPEC ٧֧ 32 ҹŵѹ Ѻ繤ášͧùѹԺҡ OPEC ҡҷ OPEC Ե ǹͺ͹ԧ෤Ԥѻ Ҥ ICE Brent, Dubai NYMEX WTI ͹㹡ͺ 46.9-51.5 ­Ѱϵͺ, 44.87-49.47 ­Ѱϵͺ, 43.8-47.5 ­Ѱϵͺ ӴѺ

ʶҹóҤҹѹູԹ
ѻҹҤ¹ѹູԹçǨҡѻ͹»Ѻ§ 0.01 ­ѰϵͺŨҡ ç蹹ѹ Sohar (116,000 ŵѹ) ҹ ԴԹéءԹѹ 2 .. 58 ͧҡѭҷҧ෤Ԥ 駹ç蹴ѧ˹ Residue Fluid Catalytic Cracker (RFCC)ԵѹູԹҴ 75,000 ŵѹ з Platts §ҹҴѹູԹ ç ҡػҹŴŧ ͧҡçҤĴٻԴا ҷ ѷ Essar Oil ҡԹ ἹԴاç Vadinar (ѧá 400,000 ŵѹ) 㹪ǧҧ͹ .. 58 һҳ 1 ͹ ç蹹ѹ Petro Rabigh (ѧá 400,000 ŵѹ) 㹫شἹԴا 50 ѹ 4 .. 58 繵 ͹ ç蹴ѧաѧüԵѹູԹ 59,000 ŵѹ СͺѺ Kuwait Petroleum Corp. (KPC) ҡǵ ͡ū͹ѹູԹ 95 RON ҳ 212,500 425,500 ͺ 7-17 .. ա International Enterprise Singapore (IES) §ҹҳͧ Light Distillates ԧҳԪԧ ѻش 9 .. 58 Ŵŧҡѻ͹ 0.8 ҹ 11.5 ҹ شͺ 9 ѻ PJK International B.V. §ҹҳͧѹູԹԧҳԪû dz Amsterdam- Rotterdam- Antwerp (ARA) ѻش 10 .. 58 Ŵŧҡѻ͹ 4.9% 8.2 ҹ ҧá Maoming Petrochemical ͧչԵѹູԹǧ͹ ..- .. 58 鹨ҡա͹ 6% 22.1 ҹ ç Mailiao (ѧá 540,000 ŵѹ) ͧѷ Formosa Petrochemical Corp. (FPC) ѹἹѵҡá蹨ҡ 74% ͹ .. 58 дѺ٧ 90% ͹ .. 58 ѻҴҤҹѹູԹ͹㹡ͺ 64.14-68.74 ­Ѱ ͺ

ʶҹóҤҹѹ
ѻҹҤ¹ѹŻѺŴŧ ҡ Oman Oil Refineries and Petroleum Industries Co. (ORPIC) ç Mina al-Fahal (ѧá 106,000 ŵѹ) ѺҴԹѧա зҳͧѹдѺ٧ PJK §ҹҳͧѹԧҳԪû dz ARA ѻش 10 .. 58 鹨ҡѻ͹ 4.1% 27.4 ҹ ٧ش繻ѵԡó IES §ҹҳͧ Middle Distillates ԧҳԪԧ ѻش 9 .. 58 鹨ҡѻ͹ 0.2 ҹ 13.6 ҹ ٧شͺͺ 4 ҧá Platts Ҵóͧ Kerosene (ѹӤͺ蹫觶繹ѹǡѺѹ)㹺dz˹㹪ǧ˹˹Ǩ ѧҡ§ҹҳͧдѺ٧ش繻ѵԡó ç蹹ѹ Vadinar (ѧá 400,000 ŵѹ) ͧѷ Essar Oil ԹἹԴا 1 ͹ ѹ 15 .. 58 繵 ա Platts §ҹҴѹѺçʹѺʹعҡ Arbitrage ѧû ػʧ鹨ҡͿԡҵѹ ѻҴҤҹѹŨ͹㹡ͺ 58.66-63.26 ­Ѱ ͺ
 
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